Risk simulation
Introduction
In science, simulation is the contextual artifice that refers to the investigation of a hypothesis or a set of working hypotheses #Research_Hypothesis "Hypothesis (scientific method)") using models, a perfect method for teaching and learning.
Thomas T. Goldsmith Jr.") and Estle Ray Mann") define it like this: "Simulation is a numerical technique for conducting experiments on a digital computer. These experiments involve certain types of mathematical and logical relationships, which are necessary to describe the behavior and structure of complex real-world systems over long periods."
A more formal definition, formulated by R. E. Shannon"),[1] is: "Simulation is the process of designing a model of a real system and carrying out experiments with it, with the aim of understanding the behavior of the system or evaluating new strategies - within the limits imposed by a certain criterion or a set of them - for the operation of the system."
Simulation elements
System definition
It consists of studying the context of the problem, identifying the objectives of the project, specifying the measurement indices of the effectiveness of the system, establishing the specific objectives of the modeling and defining the system that is going to be modeled in a simulation system.
Model formulation
Once the results expected to be obtained from the study have been precisely defined, the model with which the desired results will be obtained is defined and built. In the formulation of the model it is necessary to define all the variables that are part of it, their logical relationships and the flow charts that completely describe the model.
Data collection
It is important that the data that the model will require to produce the desired results be clearly and accurately defined.